Inkhaven
I'm attending the Inkhaven writing residency during April 2026.
During that time I’ll be publishing daily, discussing rationality and writing as well as my usual AI topics. The most AI-relevant pieces will also be on the main writing page.
How to Watch an Intelligence Explosion
The cleanest metric for understanding the rate of recursive self improvement (RSI) is AI Futures Project’s R&D progress multiplier, which measures how much AI is speeding up its own development. It’s the right tool for measuring an intelligence explosion, but it doesn’t tell us which capability thresholds carry the greatest risk from misaligned AI.
Ajeya Cotra steps into that gap with an elegant taxonomy of 6 milestones for AI automation. Together, those two concepts let us measure the how fast RSI is proceeding, how close we are to a fully automated economy, and when a misaligned AI would be most likely to betray us.
My AI editor is essential to my writing flow and has made me a stronger and more consistent writer. I get a lot of questions about my setup, so I’m going to talk about how I think about the role of AI, how I set up my editing workflow, and how to set up your own editor. Not sure if that would be useful to you? The final section of this post is the feedback Claude gave me on my first draft, so you can assess for yourself.
Ezra Klein Interviews Jack Clark, Part 1
Ezra Klein and Jack Clark? Shut up and take my money.
Jack always has interesting thoughts about the larger social impact of AI as well as the trajectory of the frontier models. The whole interview is great, but I want to focus on six topics I found especially interesting and/or surprising:
- Model personality
- Claude’s moral preferences
- Excellent but awkward life advice
- Jobs and employment
- Public policy
- Where we’re headed
Does the Future Need Programmers? Part 1
There’s a common concern that AI may break the programmer pipeline, with junior developers becoming unemployable but senior developers more in demand than ever. I think that’s unlikely: if AI replaces junior developers, it will soon after replace their senior colleagues.